Manuse, J.E. (2009). "The Strategic Evolution of Systems: Principles and Framework with Applications to Space Communication Networks."
PhD Dissertation, Massachusetts Institute of Technology.
Applied thermodynamic principles by analogy to the problem of architectural selection under legacy constraints. Introduced an entropy-based formulation treating architectural desirability as a function of position: the flexibility of the current architecture, the desirability of available transitions, the value of the new state, and the forward-looking position it enables. Proved three theorems demonstrating that the formulation has the right qualitative properties. Named the concept of option lock-out — the tendency to lose access to potentially desirable regions of the architectural space when exercising a transition.
Open research questions
Does the entropy-based formulation of architectural desirability survive derivation from first principles — and does it become a testable prediction of UST?
What is the relative entropy differential between within-family architectural adaptation and cross-family architectural transition? Does that differential follow a consistent pattern across domains?
These questions are noted here in the spirit the evidentiary record is intended to carry: open, inquisitive, and honest about what is not yet known.
Relationship to UST
Laid the groundwork for thinking in terms of entropy. Preliminary application of entropy-based principles by analogy.